Tuesday, September 25, 2018

New Post: "The Great Sin of the Left"

Hello all.  A new post  on The American Catholic: "The Great Sin of the Left," which is to make us hate them because of their lies, corruption, .... and violate the teachings of Jesus, to love our enemies (Matt 5:44).

Saturday, September 8, 2018

New Post: Faith, Decision Making and Probability III:
Bayes' Theorem and the Anthropic Principle

Hello all.   New post on Catholic Stand: "Faith, Decision Making and Probability III: <br>Bayes' Theorem and the Anthropic Principle."  I  derive Bayes' Theorem and discuss two examples of how it is used to incorporate new knowledge into modifying probability as a measure of belief:  the Monty Hall problem (the three doors with a prize and goats), and a medical test for a rare disease.

Friday, September 7, 2018

New Post: "Faith, Decision Making and Probability II: How do we interpret probability?

Hello all.   Hope you're welcoming fall, and cooler weather.   A new post on Catholic Stand: "Faith, Decision Making and Probability II: How do we interpret probability?"   I talk about the various interpretations of probability--logical, frequentist and subjective--and how probability is conditional, based on evidence.